Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004618 0.004866 0.005122 0.005404 0.005708 0.006026 0.006384
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004241 0.004617 0.005021 0.005488 0.006018 0.006600 0.007293
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003959 0.004403 0.004895 0.005484 0.006173 0.006959 0.007934
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003723 0.004210 0.004763 0.005440 0.006256 0.007215 0.008444
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003498 0.004009 0.004600 0.005339 0.006249 0.007348 0.008795
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003316 0.003845 0.004466 0.005258 0.006253 0.007482 0.009144
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003202 0.003754 0.004412 0.005266 0.006362 0.007745 0.009664
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003005 0.003552 0.004211 0.005078 0.006205 0.007654 0.009704
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002923 0.003487 0.004176 0.005095 0.006312 0.007906 0.010217
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002902 0.003496 0.004232 0.005230 0.006576 0.008379 0.011061
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002797 0.003394 0.004140 0.005165 0.006567 0.008474 0.011370
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002717 0.003320 0.004083 0.005141 0.006611 0.008643 0.011792
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002624 0.003228 0.003999 0.005081 0.006603 0.008742 0.012122
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002591 0.003213 0.004016 0.005158 0.006792 0.009133 0.012925
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002529 0.003157 0.003976 0.005153 0.006862 0.009352 0.013470
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002458 0.003087 0.003913 0.005113 0.006877 0.009486 0.013886
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002372 0.002993 0.003815 0.005020 0.006808 0.009486 0.014078
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002298 0.002913 0.003734 0.004946 0.006763 0.009521 0.014327
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002256 0.002876 0.003710 0.004953 0.006842 0.009751 0.014925
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002155 0.002755 0.003565 0.004780 0.006635 0.009516 0.014692
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002122 0.002727 0.003550 0.004796 0.006722 0.009757 0.015321
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002124 0.002748 0.003606 0.004920 0.006982 0.010295 0.016528
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002069 0.002688 0.003542 0.004860 0.006947 0.010338 0.016817